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IWC Forum Topics
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- General Discussion on IWC
- Are Today's Leading ETFs Lagging Indicators? [view article]
- Is it Different This Time? [view article]
- ETF Update: Leveraged and Inverse ETFs, Short ETFs, Microcaps [view article]
- US Small Cap and Microcap ETFs [view article]
- Window Dressing in Micro-Cap Stocks [view article]
- Microcap ETF: Hidden Gem, or Small Business Scapegoat? [view article]
- How to Play the Dollar's Fall With ETFs [view article]
- Comments on the Barclay's Micro Cap ETF (IWC) and PowerShares Micro Cap ETF (PZI) [view article]
- Exchange-Traded Funds and Closed-End Funds by Asset Class, Type and Provider [view article]
- Core Building Blocks: Large, Mid & Small Cap US ETFs [view article]
- U.S. Index and Style ETFs Currently Oversold [view article]
Recent IWC Articles
- Are Today's Leading ETFs Lagging Indicators?
- ETF Update: Small Cap ETFs, 4 Currency ETFs
- Is it Different This Time?
- ETF Update: Leveraged and Inverse ETFs, Short ETFs, Microcaps
- Microcap ETF: Hidden Gem, or Small Business Scapegoat?
- ETF Update: MicroCaps Bringing Up the Rear, SmallCap Emerging Market ETFs
- Microcap Funds: Down but Not Out
- Russell Reshuffles 1Q IPOs Into Indexes
- ETF Update: Commodity Run-Up, New ETF Committee, Clean Energy ETFs, CFTC, SEC Cooperation, Microcap Suspensions
- U.S. Index and Style ETFs Currently Oversold
- Full List of Articles »
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Are Today's Leading ETFs Lagging Indicators? [view article]
I am not entirely sure that1. Oct is the mid point of the downtrun
2. Oct is the stock market bottom
Good insight, and maybe good judgement too. lets see Reply
Is it Different This Time? [view article]
I remember in the year 2000, a Financial advisor was telling me to put most of the money in tech stocks. I did not listen to him, instead I put 30% only.In mid 2001, when I saw the 7% decline in the market (which happend in few days), I pulled all my money out. I was out of the market for many years. I returned in the beginning of 2007. And I bailed out again in December of 2007. I don't calim to be able to time the market, I guess I just got lucky.
If you have money you don't need for looooong time, then it is maybe a good time to invest. For an average guy, like me, I know I can loose my shirt in this market. That's why I am out of the market for the time being. There is so much uncertainty, and I don't know who to believe. Speculators are every where, and they are out of control.
I have learned not listen to any body, but instead do my own risk management. Reply
Is it Different This Time? [view article]
I have a question. Has this ever happened before? The stock market was supposed to correct harder than it did. Instead, Bernanke led the Fed to employ a safeguard and cheapen the rates of the US Dollar. Back in 1929 and the early 1930s we had a huge correction, but the dollar was not spit out by whirring printing presses. Here we needed another correction, and instead of letting the stock market crash to rich-become-poor lows and therefore letting the non-working rich who owned the worthless holdings become workers, we suffered a devaluation of the currency and made liquidity bountiful for all thanks to the Fed saving the rich from becoming workers. Is the fate of all fiat currencies the same? It seems to me it would be. The rich become very wealthy and the workers get nothing, right? Replyr
Is it Different This Time? [view article]
The best quote on the "This Time its Different" idea is:"The investment desert is littered with the bones of those who bet on new paradigms" - Jeremy Grantham Reply
Is it Different This Time? [view article]
Burton---Beautifully written and right on target but by the looks of the comments few listen. "This time its different" will fool people until the end of time.People WANT to believe its different and cant be stopped. Thats why its so easy to buy stocks and houses at the bottom. Reply
Is it Different This Time? [view article]
I am a Ph.D. statistician. The data here does not support the conclusion. I do rotate my index weights based on a similar statistic. I am making money using the similar statistic and options. The main difference this time is everyone is forgetting value investing. Real estate is an asset just like every other asset. Currently, buying a condo in Florida and renting it out is currently a cash flow negative adventure based on simple real estate investing assumptions.In my opinion we will hit bottom when value investors start purchasing real estate for rental in Florida. We are much closer today than last year but real estate is still over priced using a FCF model. I track a proprietary index for several parts of the country to determine when real estate is fairly priced. Once rental real estate is fairly price the healing will start.
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Is it Different This Time? [view article]
Enjoyed this article .My free website has articles that discuss this ReplyIs it Different This Time? [view article]
no, its the same this time... leave taxpayers on the hook for TRILLIONS and watch the country crumble from its own ineptitude... ReplyIs it Different This Time? [view article]
The shenanigans of Mr. Bernanke, Paulson, etc can postpone the day of reckoning but not avoid it. "You can run, but you can't hide." It's also a pretty good rule of thumb that the longer you put off a problem, the worse it gets. ReplyIs it Different This Time? [view article]
as taxpayers we should start demanding our money be spent wisely , and quit voting "yes" to build football and hockey stadiums for mega billionaires ie Jerry Jones Dallas Cowboys ........the dumbass taxpayers handed him over 300 million dollars ...what idiots ......I live near Dallas , and I have watched the Dallas taxpayers get screwed so many times ....and the city is always short funded , but they spend billions on BS crap that just lines more pockets with cash while we have to ride bicycles to save gas ........people are soooooooo damn stupid ....when are we going to wake up and just say NO to things we don't need .......governments should provide basic services ...THAT'S what taxes are for ......people wake up , if it isn't a necessity , then don't vote yes for it ......we need to use our funds for necessities ...roads , schools , hospitals , emergency relief , safety , basic city services , energy , water (this energy crisis is nothing compared to a water crisis ) , etc etc ......and this goes for all levels of government ...STOP BLOWING MONEY ON CRAP ....build some damn nuclear power plants , not football stadiums ReplyAltendorf
Is it Different This Time? [view article]
Hmm... well, one of us is correct. Double long gold, 80% cash. Replyborenstein
Is it Different This Time? [view article]
I am confident that cyclically I have seen the most dynamic cooperation amongst the FED ,the Congress and the Administration -and the timing was perfect.This cooperation had deflected an economic Armageddon which could have been inflicted on the U.S by the various mega speculative sources.
I have issued a warning about the current debacle as early as June of 2005 (bloomberg -Mark Gilbert interview).Certainly I have discussed pending subprime debacle on September 18 ,2007 (Bloomberg TV -Brian Sullivan)-I do not recall much analytical support from the others.
Cyclically I have never witnessed such a massive speculation in the process of derailing the greatest bastion of stability -the U.S.A.
Our implosion would have derailed global economies as well.
Then again ,I have never seen so much wisdom and cooperation between political and the monetary institutions responding in cooperative and dynamic
actions ,catching speculators by surprise and injecting unprecedented basis for stability and mega economic/ market rebound.
It is the ECB's arrogance/ignorance,th... will lead to European economic demise in the period ahead fuelling our market/economic rebound via unprecedented demand for the U.S asset.
I am quite sure that I am right about this.
I recognize that volatility will continue.
We can express our gratitude to Mr.Greenspan for the unprecedented turmoil. Reply
Is it Different This Time? [view article]
It's not Otbricki, it's actual very similar to the events leading up to the Great Depression. Socialism with an attempted fix at Socialism. Thank Emporer Hirohito for ending it. Shall we repeat in the age of nuclear weapons? ReplyIs it Different This Time? [view article]
The US has had huge national debt and massive involvement in foreign wars in the past. It has also had banking crises. How is now any different?Reply
Is it Different This Time? [view article]
Gabe, I admire a lot of your work but please forgive me for taking up account of your recent statements. I don't believe you are considering 25+ years of a total collapse of an economic theory at play.I hate doom and gloom, because things always get better someday so better to get busy working on it today to shorten the pain.
But are you really that confident in Fed, Administration and Congress? Fed bailed out liars and thieves at iBanks while an entire population twists in the wind. Bear bailout necessary in my opinion but extending the window into 2009? Treasury & Fed granted superman powers with taxpayer assuming direct and indirect losses? 9% approval rating for Congress? You do know it is polled at 13% for Democrats themselves? Dillusions of global grandier from Bush I, Clinton and Bush 2, ummm Doha? 9 T national debt, Boomers retiring but no funds or adequate plan to cover Medicaid? 45% of all Americans on some form of government subsidy? GDP and Labor distortions, manipulations, fabrications and ommissions?
This is evidence the whole house of cards will now come down at a point and we're just delaying it. Can we get on with it? Nope, must remove scoundrels from Washington first and that is not going to be an overnight mission. I must assume your mention 'help' of the political powers that be is sarcasm. Reply