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- All Comments on IYR
- General Discussion on IYR
- Declines from Peaks in Housing Show Big Disparity [view article]
- June Case-Shiller Housing Numbers [view article]
- What the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
- Wednesday Outlook: Low Volume Storm? [view article]
- Housing Futures Show Signs of Life [view article]
- The Real Deal on July's Housing Numbers [view article]
- Endowment Investing 2008, Yale-Style [view article]
- Real Estate [REIT] ETFs [view article]
- Wednesday Options Outlook: KRE, STI, WPI, IYR, BGG, SWY [view article]
- Greenspan Blasts Housing Bubble He Helped Create [view article]
- A Simple Momentum System for Beating the Market [view article]
- Housing Crisis Likely to Wipe Out Two Decades of Family-Earned Wealth [view article]
Recent IYR Articles
- Declines from Peaks in Housing Show Big Disparity
- Thursday Outlook: Grab Your Paintbrush
- June Case-Shiller Housing Numbers
- Wednesday Outlook: Low Volume Storm?
- Housing Futures Show Signs of Life
- Tuesday Outlook: Pre-Labor Day Malaise
- The Real Deal on July's Housing Numbers
- What the Homebuilders Are Telling Us
- Friday Outlook: Dark Clouds
- Wednesday Outlook: Bear Attack?
- Full List of Articles »
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Declines from Peaks in Housing Show Big Disparity [view article]
Tth real estate market is on the re-bondJust hold tight
Stocks and real estate go hand in hand, and the stock market is moving up
TKTK53 Reply
Declines from Peaks in Housing Show Big Disparity [view article]
I'm shocked...SHOCKED!!...... all real estate is local.Thanks for illustrating this well hidden fact.
More "brilliant" from Bespoke analysis.... Reply
Declines from Peaks in Housing Show Big Disparity [view article]
I live in the city of Chicago, I have found it interesting that overall the prices of condos downtown do not seem to be overly affected by the downturn, if in fact the market has lost 10% of it's value I haven't noticed it. ReplyJune Case-Shiller Housing Numbers [view article]
good lord! above me jay who must be a realtor says "buy in phoenix" hey dufus, did you miss the part that the drops in phoenix are actually picking up speed? Foreclosures here keep climbing, and the metro is losing jobs for the first time in over 20 years, yep buy today!Another 6 months, maybe, another year? but today? 55K inventory, sales rate barely over 5K a month, and foreclosures over 4K. YOU go buy, smarter people will wait and watch prices continue to fall! Reply
fredrickson
June Case-Shiller Housing Numbers [view article]
Phoenix, Miami and Tampa are clearly bubble markets with 3s thing in common. Sun, warmth and future growth. Smart money to be made there right now on foreclosures and hold until the excess is blown off. As soon as people in Boston and Chicago retire and sell their homes there, they'll move to these areas. This trend will continue until global warming melts the icebergs in Alaska.Jay Fredrickson
1-75.mobi Reply
June Case-Shiller Housing Numbers [view article]
Shoddy workmanship, substandard materials (vinyl siding), inadequate inspections, high density development and the loss of 20-40% of value is a common occurance across the nation right now, even in rural markets. The sad part is that many small banks have just begun to foreclose on loans that have been dead for a long time due to regulatory visits and sanctions. Look for a wave of small to medium size bank failures in the next 12 months, leading to even lower home sales prices. Reply@yahoo.com
June Case-Shiller Housing Numbers [view article]
I'm still convinced housing has much farther to fall. Let us not forget that one of the major problems behind the real estate boom was that so many homes were thrown up by greedy builders whose quality of workmanship was quite poor. We aren't talking about little Arts & Crafts bungalows that will still be standing 120 years from now, we're talking about a nation covered with nelighborhoods of shoddy firetraps that will all decline into ramshackle ghettos in another fifteen to twenty years. ReplyJune Case-Shiller Housing Numbers [view article]
Phoenix continues to take it in the shorts. You could tell the run up here didn't make any sense. Now they are all paying for it. I'm glad I have rented for the past 5 years. I looked stupid when I wasn't in the game and now I'm the smartest guy in the room. Go figure? ReplyJune Case-Shiller Housing Numbers [view article]
Someone within my company graphed these changes monthly on Excel. I'm sure glad I left Detroit several years ago. What a disaster.Most of the cities look like they are trending toward the bottom soon, but I personally wouldn't want to make that bet. Still, the graph is interesting and looks better than I expected and better than the charts shown above.
Reply
What the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
I've been in the RE development business for about 40 years and have never seen an environment as stacked against a turnaround as this. A partial list; interest rates, inventory, raw material costs, demographics, credit availability.....I could go on and on....wake up bud, we ain't ever close to a "turnaround"... ReplyWhat the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
I've been in the real estate development business for years and have never seen any environment that looks a bad as this one does going forward. Everything is stacked against RE for at least the next three or more years. Interest rates? (check) raw material prices (check) inventory? (check) availability of credit? (check) I mean....wakeup! ReplyWhat the Homebuilders Are Telling Us [view article]
Agree with the bears on this one, no way real estate decline has any end in sight. We are experiencing the plateau of sink or swim, and right now the water is still going out! ReplyWednesday Outlook: Low Volume Storm? [view article]
David, did you ever figure out how the 2:1 double shorts work in IYR/FXI etc?I would appreciate your thoughts.
Thanks for your research and great graphs. John Reply
Wednesday Outlook: Low Volume Storm? [view article]
w/deflation, bonds would be good, at least for awhile - good info on your charts, as usual :-)thanks! Reply
ng
Wednesday Outlook: Low Volume Storm? [view article]
at least we know you are long IEF,agreed, no interest rates risk yet Reply